Friday, January 21, 2011

The Opening Behaviour Gives Clues Again; Gap Direction and Initial 15 minute Range. $AAPL $GS $study

-I have blogged before about the importance of the opening level/behaviour. http://jpotrading.blogspot.com/2010/12/importance-of-opening-level-in-gaps-ccl.html

-Two days ago AAPL had what were apparently stellar results (again), and multiple upgrades. But it was only trading between up 0% and up 3% in pre-market...not impressive. Obviously the great results were competing with the opposing force of Steve Job´s medical leave.


-The stock opened at the pre-medical leave highs and quickly went down. This was a strong clue to the question of whether AAPL  was going up 5% due to results or down due to the medical leave.
- The pullback off the early lows was also instructive...its high coincided almost exactly with the previous day´s high...once this failed...


-GS had results that were not impressive, but far from dismal. It gapped down and the question was now what? It was range bound by the initial 15 minute candle , and one could trade this, but the "real trade" came with the brake of the opening 15 minute candle...and appropriatly the brake came in the direction of the initial gap down.