- Entered the day short $BIDU as per yesterday´s blog entry: http://jpotrading.blogspot.com/2011/01/bidu-not-good-tradefor-now-study.html
-Put in a buy-stop at 100.52 and it was quickly triggered at 9:31 for a loss.
-Thoughts: Will wait to see if it fails test of the 20 SMA and recent highs at 102.00. Also, this 50 billion facebook valuation might be helping all things internet.
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
$RL Work needed on your exit points. $study
- Yesterday went short given a downgrade in $TIF and $COH ( http://www.marketwatch.com/story/coach-tiffany-others-cut-at-jefferies-2011-01-03?siteid=yhoof2 ) and how these two were behaving; I thought $RL was bound to follow. Ended the day at break-even and almost covered.
-This morning Citigroup upgraded the stock and I thought would short it if up about 2% since that was my guess as to the max. the upgrade was worth. I wrote on my journal "naive averaging? bad risk management?" Well, thankfully I did not listen to my doubts.
-Thoughts : again like in the previous post (http://jpotrading.blogspot.com/2011/01/sbux-good-trade-should-have-been-better.html) a lot of money was left on the table. Again a simple trailing stop would have made it a much more profitable trade. Must work on this. Particularly since COH and TIF were cratering and this was your basic premise to enter the trade in the first place.
$SBUX Good trade. Should have been better. $study
- Entered the day with a short position at 33.25 . Reasons for it explained in another earlier post.
http://jpotrading.blogspot.com/2011/01/bbby-and-sbux-betting-resistance-would.html
-Everything going according to yesterday´s thesis , and when there was a pullback from the downtrend I shorted some more at 33.02 (10:25) .
-Covered position at 32.71 (12:04) .
- Thoughts: only problem was the exit. Could/Should better plan the exit with trailing stop. Quickly looking at the chart, a good cost/reward trailing stop seemed possible; stock still went in a clear downtrend from my exit.
http://jpotrading.blogspot.com/2011/01/bbby-and-sbux-betting-resistance-would.html
-Everything going according to yesterday´s thesis , and when there was a pullback from the downtrend I shorted some more at 33.02 (10:25) .
-Covered position at 32.71 (12:04) .
- Thoughts: only problem was the exit. Could/Should better plan the exit with trailing stop. Quickly looking at the chart, a good cost/reward trailing stop seemed possible; stock still went in a clear downtrend from my exit.
$BBBY and $SBUX ; Betting Resistance Would Hold. $study
-I had it that the level 50.10 was resistance for BBBY. This level emanated from the earnings report (23rd December) and the behavior on that day and the following days (http://jpotrading.blogspot.com/2010/12/importance-of-opening-level-in-gaps-ccl.html).
-So as shown in the chart I shorted at around that level with a stop at 50.55 that was almost taken out. Fortunately it was not and the trade was profitable.
-With SBUX I again bet that a resistance level would hold. The level was (is) 33.15 from the charts. The position is at break-even and I held it overnight.
-Thoughts: By the time it reached my resistance level it was up close to 4% with no news, so that made me comfortable. Today must be careful since with a strong market it looks poised to break that 33.15 level convincingly.
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